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Predictions for Q3 2021
Fluctuating COVID-19 situations
around the globe will impact overall
phishing volume
With the ongoing global pandemic varying
situation, it is likely that overall phishing
volume will be impacted, along with the
themes. We expect to see an increase in
continue to worsen. This could include a new
wave of regional phishing campaigns that use
end users, or just an increase in more generic
phishing emails that target users who continue
to work from home due to the pandemic.
and local government policies have been
used as lures within phishing campaigns.
Other possible themes are delta variant,
business office re-opening notifications, and
vaccinations. Further, the economic impact
of COVID-related lockdowns may prompt
increased participation in threat activity from
economically stressed regions. As the global
situation of the pandemic continues, expect
threat actors to take advantage of the chaotic
news cycle, as well as ongoing adjustments to
new work environments.
An increase in password protected
archives with passwords displayed
in image form
SEGs have been able to open and analyze
malicious password-protected attachments
by scraping the password text offered in the
email body. Threat actors have found a way to
bypass this by displaying the password in an
image, and using the image as the email body.
When this image-based technique is used,
it forces an end user to manually input the
password in order to access the attachement.
This tactic is more efficient at bypassing SEGs
and could to lead to a higher infection rate. We
expect that the use of this tactic will increase
in the coming months.
The use of credential phishing will
continue to outpace malware-based
attacks
Credential phishing remains a prevalent attack
vector and is very popular among threat
actors. We have also seen that it is an effective
method of bypassing security infrastructure.
We expect that the percentage of threat actors
using credential phishing will grow compared to
that of malware-based attacks. The first stages
of credential phishing can change entirely
dependent upon the goals of the campaign,
this often determines the campaigns’ ability
to bypass security. The volume of credential
phishing we have seen successfully reaching
end users compared to that of malware
indicates a possible transition from malware,
since a phishing attack that does not reach the
inbox has essentially failed.