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Refer to last page for important disclosures.
Thailand Daily
Thursda
, 31 Jul
2025
COMPANY RESULTS
BU
(Upgraded)
Share Price Bt207.00
Target Price Bt240.00
Upside 15.94%
(Previously Bt160.00)
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
SCC operates as a holding company which is
engaged in the industrial supplies and
construction industries. The company operates
six core businesses – chemical, paper,
cement, building materials, distribution and
investment.
STOCK DATA
GICS sector Materials
Bloomberg ticker: SCC TB
Shares issued (m): 1,200.0
Market cap (Btm): 308,640.2
Market cap (US$m): 8,529.5
3-mth avg daily t'over (US$m): 11.6
Price Performance (%)
52-week high/low Bt328.00/Bt221.00
1mth 3mth 6mth 1yr YTD
(0.4) (12.0) (21.1) (30.1) (25.5)
Major Shareholders %
Maha Vajiralongkorn 33.3
Stock Exchange of Thailand 10.0
STATE STREET Corp 4.3
FY24 NAV/Share (Bt) 317.04
FY24 Net Debt/Share (Bt) 154.70
PRICE CHART
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
100
150
200
250
(%)
(lcy)
SIAM CEMENT PCL/THE SIAM CEMENT PCL/THE/SET INDEX
0
5
10
15
Jul 24 Sep 24 Nov 24 Jan 25 Mar 25 May 25
Volume (m)
Source: Bloomberg
ANALYST(S)
Benjaphol Suthwanish
+662 659 8301
Benjaphol@uobkayhian.co.th
Siam Cement (SCC TB)
2Q25: Core Earnings Below Our And Consensus Expectations But 2H25 Earnings
Improve Hoh
SCC recorded strong qoq and yoy growth in net profit for 2Q25, mainly supported by
substantial one-time gains. Stripping out these gains, core earnings came in below our
and consensus estimates by 27% and 17% respectively. Core earnings improved qoq,
driven by recoveries at SCGC and SCGP, and lower financing costs following debt
repayment using the one-time gains. We have revised up our core earnings projections
for 2025-26. Upgrade to
BUY. Target price: Bt240.00.
2Q25 RESULTS
ear to 31 Dec
Btm
2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 %Ch
.
o
%Ch
.
o
6M24 6M25 %Ch
.
o
Revenue 128,195 124,392 124,684 -3% 0% 252,461 249,077 -1%
Gross
rofit 11,150 18,294 19,216 72% 5% 21,873 37,511 71%
EBITDA 9,486 9,809 9,876 4% 1% 19,489 19,685 1%
Gain
Loss
from affiliate 2,295 1,427 -138 n.a. n.a. 4,081 1,290 -68%
Core Profit 4,071 1,187 2,167 -47% 83% 5,537 3,354 -39%
Extraordinar
item -363 -88 14,257 n.a. n.a. 596 14,169 2277%
Net Profit 3,708 1,099 17,337 368% 1478% 6,133 18,436 201%
- Cement
CBM
1,633 2,411 1,136 -30% -53% 3,664 3,547 -3%
- Chemical
SCGC
-1,241 -2,248 12,908 n.a. n.a. -3,107 9,960 n.a.
- Packa
in
SCGP
1,453 900 1,010 -30% 12% 3,178 1,910 -40%
EPS 3.09 0.92 14.45 368% 1478% 5.11 15.36 201%
Inventor
ain
loss
-363 -88 -913 n.a. n.a. 596 -1,001 n.a.
Financial ratio
%
Gross Profit Mar
in 8.7% 14.7% 15.4% 8.7% 15.1%
EBITDA Mar
in 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 7.9%
Net
rofit mar
in 2.9% 0.9% 13.9% 2.4% 7.4%
Source: Siam Cement, UOB Kay Hian
RESULTS
2Q25 net profit significantly impacted by one-time items.
Siam Cement (SCC) reported a
2Q25 net profit of Bt17.3b, showing strong growth both qoq and yoy, and surpassing both our
and consensus forecasts. This outperformance was partly because our and market estimates
did not factor in one-time gains related to PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk. (CAP). Excluding this
one-time item and a Bt913m stock loss, SCC’s
core earnings for 2Q25 stood at Bt2.2b, up
83% qoq but down 47% yoy, 27% and 17% below our and consensus estimates respectively.
The weaker-than-expected core earnings were primarily due to a higher-than-anticipated loss
from the Long Son project, which led to a greater-than-expected loss at SCGC.
Extra gains.
In 2Q25, SCC recorded a one-time gain of Bt14.3b, due to: a) an extra gain of
Bt16.7b from CAP-related items, mainly driven by negative goodwill from CAP’s acquisition
of Aster Chemicals and Energy (Aster) and a gain from fair value revaluation of CAP’s
investment, b) an extra expense of Bt1.5b related to business restructuring within the
Cement-Building Materials (CBM) and SCG Chemicals (SCGC) businesses, and c) a stock
loss of Bt913m.
CBM business experienced a low season.
The CBM business posted a profit of Bt1.1b in
2Q25, down both qoq and yoy. Excluding extra expenses, profit was Bt1.7b, down 29% qoq
but up 5% yoy. The qoq decline was mainly due to seasonal factors, including a long holiday
period in April and the start of the rainy season, which affected cement sales volume.
However, selling prices began to rise in March, leading to a 2% qoq increase in 2Q25.
KEY FINANCIALS
ear to 31 Dec
Btm
2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
Net turnover 499,646 511,172 494,156 497,100 539,552
EBITDA 52,754 41,721 53,070 57,991 62,440
Operatin
profit 8,257 -1,475 4,260 12,524 18,884
Net profit
rep./act.
25,915 6,342 22,670 17,000 22,525
Net profit
ad
.
14,895 3,798 7,500 17,000 22,525
EPS
Bt
21.60 5.28 18.89 14.17 18.77
PE
x
9.59 39.17 10.96 14.61 11.03
P/B
x
0.68 0.70 0.67 0.65 0.63
EV/EBITDA
x
18.43 22.92 15.39 12.65 11.27
Dividend
ield
%
2.90 2.42 2.42 3.86 4.11
Net mar
in
%
2.98 0.74 1.52 3.42 4.17
Net debt/
cash
to equit
%
65.83 58.21 32.14 18.04 6.56
Interest cover
x
5.12 3.63 4.82 6.19 7.43
Consensus net profit n.a. n.a. 8,320 13,113 16,511
UOBKH/Consensus
x
n.a. n.a. 0.69 1.18 1.13
Source: Siam Cement, Bloomber
, UOB Ka
Hian