
UNIT 13: FINANCIAL PLANNING AND FORECASTING
usually those that involve producing a standard item that sells at the same price,
from umbrellas to denim jeans, a child’s toy or even a mobile phone app. An
alternative is a business that offers a service at a specific price, such as a small bed
and breakfast hotel or a cattery. Although breakeven can be calculated using a
formula, many of the associated points are better illustrated using the graphical
method, for example, the profit area. To achieve this unit, learners must be able to
use both methods to calculate the breakeven point and carry out analysis. This must
also include analysing the effect of changing costs and prices on the business.
Learning aim B covers cash flow. Learners need to practise using given data to
produce a cash flow forecast showing monthly information for a year. They can then
start to analyse the information, mainly looking for times when there is a large
surplus closing balance and also the reverse – a large deficit. You need to provide
activities so that extremes of situations are illustrated. Often a simple business
decision, such as to spend more on advertising, can have serious consequences if
this coincides with late payments from customers. The importance of chasing up
overdue payments – as well as monitoring expenditure – must be emphasised and
the latter will also provide a natural introduction to budgeting.
Learners must be introduced to the various aspects that affect cash flow forecasting,
such as buying and selling goods on credit, and the seasonal fluctuations experienced
by businesses such as firework manufacturers and farmers. In addition, example
cash flow statements should also illustrate: small negative and positive final
balances; large negative and positive final balances; regular and irregular income
items; and regular and irregular expenditure items. Learners can be divided into
groups to carry out analysis and report back on their findings.
Learning aim C relates to budgets and budgetary control. You should first remind
learners about the basics of budgeting – setting targets, measuring performance,
identifying variances and taking managerial action based on the variance analysis.
After this, you should point out the limitations of profit and loss accounts and balance
sheets – that they are historical and only show problems after they have occurred.
Budgets are forward looking and aim to identify problems quickly so that the
business owner is in control.
You could then introduce the idea of how budgets are controlled, looking at the
management systems that businesses put in place. It would be particularly beneficial
for learners to compare the systems in place in businesses of different size (for
example, a sole trader versus a multinational) to give them an understanding of the
complexity of maintaining financial control across a business.
Show learners examples of budgets with monthly planned expenditure figures
provided against each item. A good one to start with would be a production
department budget since it would include several items: materials, labour, power
and so on. Then you could give actual expenditure figures for a month and ask the
learners to add them to the budget pro forma. The figures should be designed to
produce some large/small positive/negative variances. Once the learners have
calculated the variances, you could ask them to say what (if any) action needs to
be taken about the variances. Reinforce this by learners working out variances for
themselves and deciding what form of managerial action could be needed.
Once the basics are established, learners could work in small groups to identify the
structure of the different types of budget listed in the unit specification (sales,
production and so on). They should also understand how budgets are likely to vary
between contrasting businesses, such as manufacturing and retail, as this will be a
feature of their assessment. However, if learners also produce budgets using the
analyses and data from learning aims A and B, it will also consolidate earlier
knowledge. This will demonstrate how all the financial forecasting tools complement
each other when used correctly. Finally, using the information gleaned from the
practical activities, you could ask the learners to produce a report based on their
analysis, which includes an overview of the usefulness of budgets to a business.
Delivery Guide – Pearson BTEC Firsts in Business –
Issue 2 – October 2014 © Pearson Education Limited 2014
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