
Hugo Davies
Chief Capital Officer
and Managing
Director, Mortgages
Market overview
Condence returns:
Falling rates, rising demand, renewed optimism
While market volumes remained below long-
term averages, the direction of travel improved
meaningfully. For alternative lenders and credit
investors, the year marked a turning point – with
falling rates, moderating inflation, and for the
best part, renewed clarity in funding markets
creating more favourable conditions for growth.
We started the year with the Bank of England
base rate at 5.25%, but ended it in March
2025 at 4.5%, following a series of consistent
reductions. This shift, alongside less volatile
swap rates, created a more stable backdrop for
pricing – enabling us to manage interest rate
risk effectively while remaining competitive
across all products. As a result, we unlocked
new opportunities for broker clients, reignited
investor confidence, and delivered a record year
for mortgage origination, driven by optimised
execution across both short-term mortgages and
buy-to-let.
For landlords, the income backdrop remained
strong: private rental inflation continued to
outpace general inflation, underpinned by
structural supply shortages in the housing market.
Demand remained strongest in value-accretive
investment strategies – such as refurbishment,
HMO conversions, and professionally managed
lets – segments in which specialist lenders have a
distinct competitive advantage.
The UK property finance market in FY2025 was defined by growing stability and the
early signs of recovery after a prolonged period of challenges and sluggish growth.
Headline CPI inflation rose 2.6% in the
12-months to March 2025, reflecting a gradual
easing of price pressures across the economy.
House prices stabilised, with Nationwide
reporting a 3.9% annual increase in the 12
months to March 2025. Mortgage approvals
rose from a low of around 61,100 per month at
the start of the financial year to approximately
64,300 by March 2025 (though the Stamp Duty
changes created a spike in demand in March
2025). While overall transaction volumes remain
constrained, investor and borrower sentiment
improved consistently through the second half
of the year, as expectations for a rate-driven
recovery strengthened.
Labour market conditions softened marginally,
with unemployment rising to 4.5% by
March2025.
However wage growth, while higher than where
the Bank of England would like, remained
robust – supporting affordability and, in turn,
credit performance. Core mortgage-eligible
demographics remained well supported,
and employment levels continued to sustain
underlying borrower affordability.
From a credit investor perspective, performance
remained resilient – supporting demand for
income-generating opportunities backed by real
assets such as buy-to-let.
For the rst time since the
mini-budget chaos, the
world felt more predictable.
Condence returned.
Rates fell, swaps stabilised,
ination eased, and real
incomes recovered – helping
mortgageactivity trend
back to long-term norms.
Borrowers and investors
could nally plan ahead.”
Institutional appetite for high-quality property
finance exposure improved as broader volatility
eased. Private credit and public securitisation
spreads generally rallied over the course of the
year, with AAA bonds tightening by as much as
10bps at one stage, reflecting both increased
investor confidence in structured finance but
importantly, the desire to allocate capital to
highly rated, investment grade securities with
less correlation to the whims of the global socio-
political agenda.
For investors seeking yield with security, this
asset class has, again, offered a compelling
proposition in an unpredictable world– a world
where specialist lenders, or alternative platforms
such as our own, with both the origination scale
and risk discipline, were best placed to create and
capture value.
Looking ahead, the outlook for FY26 is
increasingly constructive, with rates expected
to continue falling, inflation nearing target,
and borrower sentiment improving, the
market environment is shifting in favour of
well-capitalised, tech-enabled lenders with
differentiated funding and platform advantages.
While challenges will inevitably emerge – as they
have in recent years – we are well positioned to
benefit from this next phase of the cycle, with the
best technology platform, the right partnerships,
the right investors, and a strong track record of
performance in specialist segments where growth
is accelerating.
Our perspective
08 LendInvest plc Annual Report and Accounts 2025
Strategic Report