
NEWS
31
TUESDAY 27 FEBRUARY 2024 www.businessday.ng
Continued from page 2
FG’s health backward integration...
INFLATION eroded the N8.44
trillion gain the telecommu-
nication sector made in 2023
despite its improving contribu-
tion to economic growth.
In 2023, the telecoms sector
contributed N25.22 trillion to
the country’s Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) in nominal
terms (at current prices). This
was an N8.44 trillion increase
from the N16.78 trillion the sec-
tor recorded in 2022. At current
prices, the telecom sector grew
by 50.28 percent in 2023.
However, when adjusted for
inflation (GDP at 2010 constant
basic prices), telecoms contrib-
uted N11.03 trillion, a N901.52
billion increase from the N10.13
trillion it recorded in 2022.
When adjusted for inflation,
the telecom sector grew by 8.90
percent in 2023.
Nominal GDP is the current
market value of goods and ser-
vices produced at a particular
period, while real GDP is the
value of goods and services af-
ter inflation has been factored
in. According to economists,
real GDP is the true reflection
of a country’s economic status.
Commenting on the impact
of the information and commu-
nication sector (to which tele-
coms contributed 83.69 percent
to) on the country’s nominal
GDP, the National Bureau of
Statistics said: “On an annual
basis, the sector grew by 40.79
percent, higher than 19.00 per-
cent in 2022. The information
and communications sector
contributed 12.52 percent to the
total nominal GDP in the 2023
fourth quarter, higher than the
rate of 10.42 percent recorded in
the same quarter of 2022.”
It said: “On an annual basis,
the sector growth stood at 7.91
percent relative to 9.76 percent
in 2022. Of total real GDP, the
sector contributed 16.66 per-
cent in the 2023 fourth quarter,
higher than in the same quarter
of the previous year in which it
represented 16.22 percent.”
The removal of fuel sub-
sidy and the harmonisation
of foreign exchange rates ex-
acerbated inflation in 2023.
Between January and May
(before the two policies kicked
in), inflation rose from 21.82
percent as of January 2023 to
22.41 percent as of May 2023.
Inflation jumped from 22.79
percent as of June 2023 to 29.90
percent as of December 2023 af-
ter implementing the policies.
This has led to a surge in
the cost of goods and services
in the country, with businesses
struggling to stay afloat as the
purchasing power of consum-
ers worsened.
High inflation is creating
hardships in Nigeria, the In-
ternational Monetary Fund
recently disclosed. In the 10
months leading to December
By Temitayo Jaiyeola
Inflation erodes N8.4trn telecom sector gain
2023, six Nigerian companies
stopped operations in the coun-
try because of the harsh busi-
ness environment, Business-
Day recently reported.
In the company’s nine-
month financial statement for
September 2023, Karl Toriola,
MTN Nigeria chief executive
officer, highlighted that infla-
tion has diminished the firm’s
consumer spending power.
He said the firm’s earnings
before interest, tax, deprecia-
tion and amortisation margin
came under pressure as the
impact on operating expenses
of the country’s forex har-
monisation kicked in in Q3,
heightened by rising inflation.
“However, the scale of the
impact on the business of rising
inflation and currency devalua-
tion necessitates an increase in
regulated tariffs. We are engag-
ing with the authorities through
the relevant regulatory bodies to
achieve this objective,” he said.
In Airtel’s report for the nine-
month period ended December
2023, Airtel Africa highlighted
that an increase in inflationary
pressures could lead to a sig-
nificant increase in its operating
cost structure while also nega-
tively impacting the disposable
income of its consumers.
“These adverse economic
conditions, therefore, not only
put pressure on our profitabil-
ity but also on customer usage
for our services,” it added.
L-R: Benjamin Kalu, deputy speaker, House of Representatives; Barau Jibrin, deputy Senate president; Tajudeen Abbas, speaker,
House of Representatives; and Yahaya Abubakar, Etsu Nupe, during the inauguration and citizens engagement of the House
Committee on Review of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 (as amended), in Abuja on Monday. NAN
QATAR is courting foreign
investors to expand its gas ex-
pansion project, and the energy
companies falling over them-
selves are the same ones that
turned their nose up at Nigeria’s
invitation to invest in its lique-
fied natural gas (LNG) plants.
BusinessDay findings
showed Qatar is already one
of the world’s largest suppliers
of LNG — gas cooled into liquid
form so that it can be piped onto
ships for export – and it is mak-
ing plans to further increase
its LNG production capacity
following the discovery of vast
new gas reserves.
Qatar announced new plans
to expand output from the
world’s biggest natural gas
field, saying it will boost ca-
pacity to 142 million tonnes
per annum (mtpa) before 2030,
according to Saad Sherida al-
Kaabi, Qatar’s energy minister.
The new North Field expan-
sion, named North Field West,
will add a further 16 million
tonnes of LNG per year to exist-
ing expansion plans, Sherida
al-Kaabi said at a news confer-
ence on Sunday.
Meanwhile, Nigeria LNG
Limited (NLNG), owned by
the federal government of Ni-
geria and three international
oil companies, has been on
force majeure for more than
15 months.
“Recent studies have shown
that the North Field contains
huge additional gas quantities
estimated at 240 trillion cubic
feet, which raises the state of
Qatar’s gas reserves from 1,760
[trillion cubic feet] to more
than 2,000 trillion cubic feet,”
said al-Kaabi, who also heads
the state-owned company Qa-
tarEnergy.
These results “will enable us
to begin developing a new LNG
project from the North Field’s
western sector with a produc-
tion capacity of about 16 million
tonnes per annum”, he said.
This will bring Qatar’s pro-
duction capacity to 142 million
tonnes once “the new expan-
sion is completed before the
end of this decade” – a nearly 85
percent rise from current pro-
duction levels, al-Kaabi added.
The QatarEnergy chief said
the firm will “immediately
commence” with engineering
works to ensure the expansion
is completed on time.
BusinessDay’s findings
showed ExxonMobil has
pumped nearly $30 billion into
gas projects in Qatar within long-
term partnership agreements.
The US oil giant ExxonMo-
bil has pumped nearly $30 bil-
lion into gas projects in Qatar
within long-term partnership
agreements, its Senior Vice
President has said.
According to Peter Clarke,
ExxonMobil’s senior vice presi-
dent, the oil giant began in-
vesting in Qatar’s gas projects
during the 1990s and that it has
contributed to the development
of 12 of the 14 gas facilities in
the Gulf country.
“We have also invested in
27 LNG vessels to transport
Qatari gas...over the past years,
we have invested nearly $30
billion in major projects in
Qatar…we also have important
ventures with Qatar in the US,
mainly Golden Pass Termi-
nal,” Clarke told the Qatari
Arabic language daily Asharq
in an interview.
Contrast this with Nigeria
where investors have largely
been unimpressed with over-
tures to build new liquefaction
plants.
The NLNG has seen its out-
put decline owing to gas supply
constraints, which also pose a
threat to its expansion plan.
It had on October 17, 2022
declared a force majeure on
product supplies from its pro-
duction facilities on Bonny
Island, following the declara-
tion of force majeure by all its
upstream gas suppliers.
Since the development of
the NLNG, new projects have
been too few and far between.
e Two LNG projects in Nigeria:
Olokola LNG and Brass LNG
have been unable to reach a
final decision by the stakehold-
ers as investors have pulled out.
The OK LNG project was
stalled because all the inter-
national oil companies (BG,
Shell and Chevron) withdrew
from the project, with only the
Nigerian National Petroleum
Company (NNPC) left.
The Brass LNG project,
which was designed to produce
10 million metric tonnes per
annum, was to be built by the
NNPC, Total, ConocoPhillips
and Eni Group. But Cono-
coPhillips withdrew from the
project in 2013 and has stalled
since then.
“As we move into the early
2030s, there’s going be huge
demand for gas from Asia, and I
think QatarEnergy is squarely
focused on that,” said Tom
Marzec-Manser, head of gas
analytics at commodity pricing
and data company ICIS. Qatar
has secured two huge gas sup-
ply deals with China over the
past 15 months.
Last June, it agreed to sell
4mn tonnes a year of LNG to
China National Petroleum Cor-
poration for 27 years, following
a similar deal with China’s
Sinopec in November 2022.
Qatar’s LNG ramp-up
comes amid growing demand
for gas, which is set to grow by
2.5 percent, or 100 Bcm (3531
Bcf) in 2024, the International
Energy agency said in its gas
market report for Q1 2024.
Qatar accounted for 20 per-
cent of LNG volumes in 2023,
the Paris-based agency said in
the report.
“In particular, the United
States and Qatar have been
driving this trend, accounting
for 34 percent and 26 percent of
all contracted volumes in 2023
respectively. Considering only
post-FID (final investment deci-
sion) projects, these countries’
share was 21 percent and 39
percent,” the IEA said.
It is this kind of critical
thinking and rigour that is
absent in Nigeria’s policy for-
mulation and execution which
is scaring away investors.
Sugar Development Coun-
cil (NSDC) in 2021 showed
that successes recorded by
industry leaders in sugar were
anchored more on bringing
raw sugar into the country,
an economically costly model
with negative implications for
the naira and cost.
Backward integration,
as a policy, involves local
sourcing of raw materials
to reduce foreign exchange
dependence. It is a process in
which a company acquires or
merges with other businesses
that supply raw materials
needed in the production of its
finished product. Businesses
pursue backward integration
with the expectation that the
process will result in cost sav-
ings, increased revenues, and
improved efficiency in the
production process.
Anticipated benefits in-
clude cost reduction and im-
proved affordability of health-
care services, by gaining
control over the production
of essential materials, and re-
ducing reliance on expensive
imports.
While recognising the po-
tential benefits of backward
integration, Alaje cautioned
against viewing it as the pana-
cea for the manufacturing
sector and the wider economy.
He emphasised the need to
address critical challenges
obstructing manufacturing,
saying failure to do so could
undermine the effectiveness
of the proposed policy.
“We need to have technical
skills for health, we need our
energy sector, and we need
electricity to work,” he said.
“But we must start with the
fundamentals and work the
talk. If we can work the talk,
we will get there.”
Francis Meshioye, presi-
dent of the Manufacturers
Association of Nigeria, said a
policy such as backward inte-
gration requires a closer en-
gagement with manufacturers.
Meshioye pointed out that
the government ought to be
engaging closely with manu-
facturers on the components
and incentives that would
form its proposed backward
integration policy that should
benefit manufacturers.
He said: “Our view of the
backward Integration pro-
gramme is that it is very apt,
and what the government
should do is to engage with
the sector. It is better to en-
gage the sector to be able to
know how to assist the sector
if the results will be towards
constructive and effective
targeted objectives.
“The issue is to have a clos-
er engagement with the stake-
holders as any programme
or policy by the government
to help manufacturers is a
welcome idea but it will only
be effective by engaging the
manufacturers so that the
government can have a proper
direction on what to do.
Samuel Nzekwe, an eco-
nomic and financial analyst,
commended the government’s
initiative on backward in-
tegration, saying the policy
could significantly enhance
local productivity and reduce
foreign exchange pressure.
Nzekwe underscored the
pivotal role of a well-executed
implementation process for
the policy to yield the desired
results.
“Manufacturers need a
conducive environment for
production to thrive here.
They need power, electricity,
roads, security, network con-
nectivity, and it’s not yet avail-
able,” Nzekwe said, pointing
out that the use of generators
for manufacturing imposes
significant costs on the in-
dustry.
He urged the government
to include incentives in the
policy that specifically address
these challenges and not just
financial incentives. “Gov-
ernment incentives should
address power and other infra-
structure issues so that when
they empower manufacturers
financially, they will be able
to produce.”
“The health sector has
been suffering, and if we have
things that we can manufac-
ture locally. If Nigeria manu-
factures most drugs locally, it
can significantly reduce the
soaring cost of drugs and sub-
sequently reduce the overall
cost of healthcare,” Nzekwe
added.
For Muda Yusuf, chief ex-
ecutive officer of the Centre
for the Promotion of Private
Enterprise, the proposed ini-
tiative will address the chal-
lenges faced by manufacturers,
particularly in dealing with
foreign exchange issues, but
will also require a very robust
incentive. This includes subsi-
dising machinery and remov-
ing tariffs and value-added tax
on critical inputs, he said.
Yusuf highlighted the
importance of sourcing raw
materials locally to alleviate
pressure on forex and reduce
production costs, ultimately
bringing down prices.
“This is the time to look
inwards. You see all the chal-
lenges that manufacturers are
facing with foreign exchange.
So at a time like this, the
more manufacturers can look
inwards for raw materials
and other inputs, the better
for the sector and the better
for even our forex market. But
the government needs to drive
this with a lot of incentives so
that more of these things can
be sourced locally,” he said
Qatar seals LNG deals Nigeria once sought
By By Dipo Oladehinde